Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
IND
0 - 3
TAU
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
COS
49%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
AFC
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
SMI
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 2
SFF
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |