Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 3
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
AMA
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
TAU
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GEM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
3 - 1
GEM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 1
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 3
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
GEM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |