Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
IND
4 - 2
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
IND
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
TAU
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFF
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
AFC
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |