Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |