Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
CHE
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
AMA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |