Independiente Cauquenes vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GVE
3 - 2
CAU
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
ROD
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAU
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 2
CSD
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
7 - 0
UBE
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
LAU
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JOA
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAU
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
DSC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |