Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-2
Independiente Cauquenes vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NUB
1 - 2
CAU
84%
11%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
IBE
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 3
SAU
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
CAU
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 3
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NUB
1 - 2
CAU
84%
11%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
NUB
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
NUB
3 - 1
CUR
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 3
NUB
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NUB
4 - 0
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |