Independiente Cauquenes vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 2
LOT
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 3
CAU
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAU
0 - 1
CHG
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAU
4 - 2
CHI
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
CAU
18%
23%
60%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CHG
0 - 1
NTA
59%
22%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
LOT
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 1
NTA
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 3
SAU
32%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 0
NTA
58%
22%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |