Independiente Cauquenes vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAU
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 1
NTA
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
DSC
4 - 1
CAU
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAU
5 - 0
TRA
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
PIN
4 - 2
CAU
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CHG
1 - 1
LOT
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LOT
1 - 0
CDM
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LOT
1 - 2
MAL
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NTA
3 - 3
LOT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 1
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |