Independiente Cauquenes vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 4
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
IBE
0 - 0
CAU
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
CHG
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
ACC
1 - 1
CAU
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
SAU
3 - 2
CAU
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ACC
3 - 2
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CHG
1 - 2
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
LIM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |