Independiente Cauquenes vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Cauquenes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHG
0 - 2
CAU
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 1
VAL
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOT
3 - 1
CAU
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
CAU
1 - 3
SAU
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAU
1 - 1
MAL
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
CDM
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
4 - 0
PIN
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 2
CDM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |