Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 0
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 0
IND
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
UNI
24%
25%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 3
TFE
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
2 - 2
FER
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 0
TFE
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TFE
0 - 0
TAL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |