Independiente Chivilcoy vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 0
IND
61%
23%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 1
DEP
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
9DJ
1 - 0
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
SLP
40%
27%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TFE
1 - 2
ALV
43%
28%
29%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
TFE
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TFE
0 - 5
9DJ
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SLP
1 - 0
TFE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TFE
0 - 0
MAI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |