Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
2º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
LIN
62%
24%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLP
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 1
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
DPR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
DFR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |