Independiente Chivilcoy vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
MAI
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TAL
4 - 1
IND
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
DFR
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
9DJ
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
SLP
2 - 1
JUU
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JUU
1 - 0
TFE
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
JUU
0 - 0
MAI
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
TAL
2 - 2
JUU
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JUU
3 - 0
DFR
44%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |