Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
12
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DHA
4 - 3
IND
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
BUC
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
DPR
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 0
GIM
34%
29%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 0
JAN
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
GIM
49%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
GIM
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |