Independiente Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
12
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DHA
4 - 3
IND
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
BUC
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
DPR
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDN
1 - 0
GIM
34%
29%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 0
JAN
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
GIM
49%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
GIM
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |