Independiente Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
6º
7º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IND
2 - 4
SLP
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
IND
41%
30%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
0 - 2
SPB
40%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIN
4 - 0
DPR
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
SLP
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
28%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |