Independiente Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
2º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 0
IND
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DFR
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 0
IND
42%
29%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
IND
55%
27%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
SLP
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 2
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
DFR
41%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |