Independiente Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Salto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
IND
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DCM
1 - 3
IND
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
IND
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
DCM
38%
24%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
IND
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
DEF
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |