Independiente Chivilcoy vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
4º
3º
7
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
JAN
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
9DJ
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
IND
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 1
GIM
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
DPR
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 2
DHA
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
DPR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DPR
2 - 1
LIN
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |