Independiente Chivilcoy vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
2º
40
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
IND
26%
30%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
SPB
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 1
SLP
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
DPR
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 1
DFR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
DPR
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
DPR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |