Independiente Chivilcoy vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
2º
40
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
IND
26%
30%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
SPB
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 1
SLP
30%
28%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
DPR
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 1
DFR
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 1
DPR
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
DPR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |