Independente SP vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 0
RIO
32%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
XVD
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
XVD
80%
15%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
XVD
2 - 2
COR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
AUD
0 - 1
XVD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |