Independente SP vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
IND
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
BAT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
XVD
4 - 1
BOT
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
XVD
78%
16%
7%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 0
BRA
32%
25%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |