Independente SP vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
XVD
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 2
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 2
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |