Independente SP vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 0
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
SAO
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
6 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
3 - 0
PAU
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUP
5 - 1
ATI
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ATI
0 - 1
TUP
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |