Independente SP vs SKA Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
1 - 2
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SKA Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 0
COL
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SKA
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
SKA
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
PAU
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +4 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AMP
0 - 3
SKA
64%
19%
16%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |