Independente SP vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 2
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |