Independente SP vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
XVD
0 - 1
IND
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
INT
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
COM
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
76%
15%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |