Independente SP vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
SJS
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |