Independente SP vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
MAT
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAT
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |