Independente SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
INT
1 - 1
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 0
IND
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
RBB
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 0
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
PAU
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
XVD
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |