Independente SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
IND
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 4
RIO
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 3
JUV
39%
27%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |