Independente SP vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 1
IND
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
ITU
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 1
IND
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
5 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
MIR
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 0
CAT
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |