Independente SP vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
IND
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
TUP
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 0
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
SAO
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
SJS
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
VOT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
JUV
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
AUD
21%
24%
54%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUD
2 - 1
JUV
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |