Independente SP vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
IND
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IND
3 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
FLA
10%
18%
72%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 4
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |