Independente SP vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
GDS
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |