Independente SP vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
ECN
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
SJS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 2
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SVA
4 - 1
FRA
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -3 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |