Independente SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
INT
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
XVD
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
XVD
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |