Independente SP vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 2
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
BAT
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 1
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |