Independente SP vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
ECN
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 0
IND
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
0 - 0
IND
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |