Amapaense Championship Etapas finales Final
Global 3-5
Independente AP vs Trem DC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
2 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
44%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
IAP
1 - 4
TDC
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
2 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 0
TDC
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
3 - 1
YAP
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
0 - 1
SCH
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
YAP
0 - 2
TDC
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |