Independente AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 0
IAP
29%
22%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
IAP
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 2
ORC
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 0
IAP
29%
22%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
IAP
2 - 1
ORC
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TDC
2 - 0
ORC
50%
22%
29%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |