Independente AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
IAP
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SEC
1 - 1
IAP
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
IAP
1 - 0
TDC
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ECM
1 - 2
IAP
24%
21%
55%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IAP
3 - 0
YAP
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TDC
2 - 0
ORC
50%
22%
29%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 1
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ORC
0 - 1
YAP
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 2
ORC
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORC
2 - 0
SEC
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |