Independente AC vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
IAC
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
IAC
2 - 2
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IAC
3 - 0
PIN
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
IAC
2 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 0
AFC
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 6 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 2
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
VOL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |