Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-4
Independente AC vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 0
IAC
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
IAC
1 - 0
GOI
11%
19%
69%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
IAC
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
IAC
5 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 0
IAC
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
REM
2 - 4
PAY
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 1
REM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 5
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 0
RIO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |