Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-3
Independente AC vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
IAC
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
IAC
5 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
4 - 0
IAC
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
IAC
2 - 0
BRA
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
REM
4 - 0
IAC
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 2
GOI
18%
24%
59%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
GOI
77%
17%
6%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 2
GOI
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 0
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |