Independência vs Vasco da Gama AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
SFC
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 2
IND
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
GAL
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 3
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 6
GAL
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 3
NAU
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
6 - 1
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SFC
4 - 1
VAS
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 6
PLA
20%
21%
58%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |