Independência vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
IND
0 - 3
VAS
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
17%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
IND
4 - 1
SFC
64%
18%
17%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
RIO
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
IND
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 0
SFC
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |