Independência vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
IND
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
IND
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 2
IND
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AND
1 - 3
IND
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
VAS
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
GAL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
RIO
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
1 - 1
RIO
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |