Independência vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
AND
74%
15%
10%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
IND
50%
22%
27%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
IND
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 4
IND
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
SFC
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
6 - 1
SEG
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AND
1 - 5
PLA
22%
21%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 7
SCH
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
PLA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 6
PLA
20%
21%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |